Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 215.503133 234.631357 254.088696 275.330797 297.836927 320.940846 346.419697
2025-02-02 193.097227 222.977689 254.633136 290.533855 329.984372 371.883491 419.613903
2025-02-09 173.976027 212.047801 253.890752 302.961654 358.596935 419.389402 490.504920
2025-02-16 157.059592 201.309514 251.611810 312.400568 383.234025 462.543830 557.416408
2025-02-23 134.397343 181.397265 236.682720 305.506005 387.855325 482.219412 597.479930
2025-03-02 117.372534 166.373096 225.883030 302.002571 395.270673 504.348219 640.012405
2025-03-09 105.215331 156.087893 219.708623 303.094198 407.428668 531.629478 688.517799
2025-03-16 95.779654 148.313345 215.826530 306.304060 421.662354 561.158076 739.776220
2025-03-23 90.391686 145.332831 217.628654 316.370898 444.274074 600.969555 803.865923
2025-03-30 84.121854 140.515198 216.505127 322.258455 461.375782 633.970746 859.859312
2025-04-06 76.815826 133.558845 211.928933 323.106687 471.657736 658.290255 905.153405
2025-04-13 70.494895 127.460685 208.034351 324.441234 482.272172 682.895663 950.869835
2025-04-20 67.452579 126.159324 210.905588 335.239567 505.890359 724.917927 1019.831091
2025-04-27 63.898405 123.783593 212.060627 343.611577 526.394837 763.264051 1084.741124
2025-05-04 60.801800 121.852310 213.669680 352.529084 547.692601 802.876084 1151.753576
2025-05-11 57.628123 119.518450 214.483313 360.208901 567.332387 840.513394 1216.643484
2025-05-18 50.547189 110.057374 203.973473 351.017986 563.242693 846.459685 1240.130228
2025-05-25 45.229530 103.092380 196.824227 346.301481 565.039373 860.028671 1273.532475
2025-06-01 41.597116 98.761044 193.513277 347.044309 574.392774 883.743685 1320.477842
2025-06-08 38.795053 95.681127 191.992647 350.329392 587.311925 912.357828 1374.166511
2025-06-15 37.688933 95.686853 195.463438 361.280618 611.428518 956.553962 1449.170845
2025-06-22 35.806559 94.023745 196.039829 367.683171 628.947818 991.803707 1512.430062
2025-06-29 33.094952 90.465546 193.206397 368.572320 638.278013 1015.714484 1560.491965